WW16: Lurker Thread [SPOILERS]

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after the nightkill, there will be 4 wolves and 10 villagers left (Im guessing).

with 3 other wolves at least, I don't see the point in targetting novice first. Wouldnt help you find the other 3 (if he's wolf, he's already bussed 2 others), and if he's a villager it would be disastrous. He'll be an obvious lynch anyway if he's still alive in the final 6-8 players, better to find another couple of wolves first.

[zakalwe]

~5 people obviously cross-post various votes in a single minute, and Catwalk tries to analyze it as if each vote was somehow a reaction to the previous ones, with people instantly updating the tally mentally, after each vote.

[Sareln]

~5 people obviously cross-post various votes in a single minute, and Catwalk tries to analyze it as if each vote was somehow a reaction to the previous ones, with people instantly updating the tally mentally, after each vote.

Right. So I guess the easiest way about it is to look at the state each person thought the game would be in with their vote and see who has got scummy objectives right?

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welcome to the lurkers lounge Injera.

ok all known village PR's and cleared villagers (Rowain) are dead.

I fully expect novice to be killed next if he is village. So going after him today is dumb. if he's still alive in 72 hours he might be a reasonable vote, though.

[Injera]

welcome to the lurkers lounge Injera.

Howdy!

ok all known village PR's and cleared villagers (Rowain) are dead.

I fully expect novice to be killed next if he is village. So going after him today is dumb. if he's still alive in 72 hours he might be a reasonable vote, though.

If novice is a wolf they can kill TT first- another reason TT's claim was so terrible, as it actually gives novice another night to reasonably not be killed. If he's village I wouldn't be surprised if they pick a third person to try to frame him.

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TT's ability only works if he's lynched, not if he's night killed.

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novice, I was going to start today by asking you if Molach's absences here reminded you of his WW14 play. I'm taking your vote as an affirmative

molach

well its certainly not remniscient of his ww15 (village) play! molach or azza or selrahc need to be policy lynched (maybe more than one of them) and soon!

[Injera]

TT's ability only works if he's lynched, not if he's night killed.

Right, and since people believe his claim it makes him a more or less unlynchable confirmed villager. So he can justifiably be killed before novice. So, if the village doesn't catch a wolf it's going to be two more mislynches before you can even really ask, "why is novice still alive?"

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ah I see.

edit: assuming they are both village, I'd be surprised to see TT killed before novice. novice is just a more dangerous villager, even if he isn't perfect.

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hmm. Starting to like Catwalk's argument against Azza. I would be most impressed if he could herd an Azza lynch here =).