One Night Ultimate Werewolf #4

[Rowain]

Indeed, it's just an assumption, based on having only one (or zero!) wolves in play from start makes less sense.

How so?

[Tarkeel]

@Rowain: It is really just an unfounded assumption from my side, but it did fit with the overview. It is also possible that Cyneheard or Chevalier are tanners; so the safest bet as I see it is to lynch GES (but then I would say that if I were a wolf).

@Serdoa: My reasoning for picking you for the swap was that I had a pretty good impression of you from the previous game, and wanted to swap someone I had a baseline for. I considered Thrawn for the same reason but discarded him because he had been very changing in his behavior. GES then became the other option because I followed 48 pretty closely.

[Tarkeel]

Thrawn, you are very right to be concerned about my claim, but please take into account that I claimed as one of the very first actions of the game. That would be very risky play as a wolf, as none of the wolves can view reserve roles. Also consider the implications of what would happen if I announced whom I swapped before they claimed a role.

[Rowain]

Thrawn, you are very right to be concerned about my claim, but please take into account that I claimed as one of the very first actions of the game. That would be very risky play as a wolf, as none of the wolves can view reserve roles. Also consider the implications of what would happen if I announced whom I swapped before they claimed a role.

If they are a Lone Wolf, they may view one of the Reserve roles (First, Second, or Third).

[Cyneheard]

2) Cyneheard: Which role do you claim to have started with? 

An evil role.

[Tarkeel]

Ah, I missed that part. I was more focused on the difference between Seer and Mystic Wolf. My claim doesn't have the weight I thought it did then, apologies.

I guess it comes down to:
A) Lynch Gold Ergo Sum, based on information from Thrawn and me. If either of us are misleading, it's a mis-lynch.
B) Lynch Cyneheard, who was suspicious and has claimed to be evil, but could very well be the tanner.
C) Lynch someone else based on unclear information. Could be Chevalier Mal Fet, who has not made a definitive claim, or Thrawn or me if you suspect either of us are misleading.

I would obviously prefer A, but I've previously stated my interest in voting with the flock.

[Rowain]

We need CMF to claim.

[Tarkeel]

Even if we accept that one of his three crumbs earlier is true, they lead to three very different scenarios.

[Gold Ergo Sum]

Omar was the other mason.

Omar guess he might be a wolf now assuming Tarkeel is telling the truth.

Seems probable, Omar always destined to be a wolf apparently.

If Omar think he can add something useful, he will. Otherwise, since my initial role was known and uninteresting, and now Omar not even sure what his win condition is, Omar might just popcorn the rest of this one.

[Gold Ergo Sum]

So if CMF is the witch I'm now the tanner. Great.

Payback

So if CMF is the witch I'm now the tanner. Great.

Tarkeel, tell me please that you swapped me with Seroa...

Well, it's annoying but it's becoming a mess so I'll take my chances that you swapped someone else.

I'm the witch and gave wolf to Serdoa. Now tell me you didn't swap me with Serdoa!!

Omar will just point out, these series of posts do not exactly inspire confidence that Blue Man Group telling the truth about his witch claim.