This round of barbs was finally dealt with, so we can survey the damage.
Southern empire is a mess. We lost 2 warriors, 30h, 2 pillaged 6 yield tiles, also worth about 30h each, and snowball factor of 1 growth in each city that is not going through a granary, 20 food. So 110 food hammers down the drain, because a barb was able to take out 2 warriors on hills in succession. I had a bit of a think if I should have done something differently, I could have played a bit safer but I think the chance of that happening is so slow that this was the best expected value play. I've played a lot of civs games on RB, 1% rolls have to happen eventually I guess.
Both cities are just going to get their granaries and strong tiles up. I should have Sailing by the time they're up to size and they can get me a galley and settler for the islands. I guess the archer will have to head south to deal with the new barbs.
The northern empire on the other hand is moving along very nicely, with a full set of granaries. I had thoughts about building settlers in both Razakus and cubelock and settling the signed spots. With the latest pair of barbs to the east and south I'm not sure I have the units to spare for both anymore. I need to think about what to do instead.The FP cottages in the cap will be going up in the next few turns. I'm not too cut up about the delay, I consider them just an ok investment pre-granary, but now that I have a granary up they're really good.
When we get Writing, Inner Fire will whip a Library and work a pair of scientists. The GP will pop out T71 for a Maths bulb. Given how close that is I don't want to do any more chopping until it comes in. We'll probably continue working the scientists for an Academy on T84 and a golden age T104. I need to build the Library here instead of the capital, so that culture helps me pop 3rd ring borders and reclaim the silver. I should get the silver hooked about T90 now, so Dreylin's Stonehenge build has cost me 30t of the resource. That's a pretty big knock to my tech rate, the extra happiness would most likely have been used to grow onto riverside cottages.
The capital will just slow build a library, it probably makes sense to save gold before the academy and get it completed then. With the low happiness and breakeven rate I'm not sure the early academy is that useful. A Maths bulb is 370 beakers immediately and snowballs quite quickly as I chop some forests.
I have two explorers outs:
Superdeath is just to the west here, so I don't expect to get further than one more ring of cities in that direction. I think this warrior is better off going deep and getting me contacts now, rather than turning around to help garrison. It won't be too long before borders close up and we'd need Alphabet and OBs to get through. He's also continuing to pull superdeath's dog soldier away from me, which is much more than he could have done on the defense.
This guy meanwhile will start circling southeast to pick out more potential city spots, and see if they're contested by anyone. That plains hill is a tempting settle, but I don't think it's time to get on Dreylin's bad side yet. It depends on how much free land there is in this jungle and the islands.
Despite the setbacks I still feel like I'm doing comfortably better than all 3 of my neighbours, so there should be some expansion path later. Looking at the demos I'm still in the top group but I feel I might have been leading before this barb catastrophe.
Random thoughts:
-really happy with Creative so far, definitely think it's done better than IMP would have.
-Rusten got the oracle, so he can shrine his religion. It seems pretty early though, it would be a struggle to get through all those religion techs and get to writing. Maybe he started working his precious metals quite early? Did he have time to get masonry for marble too? 150h for oracle, 103b for priesthood and the best target is probably maths at 430 beakers. Maybe he took Monarchy, then he wouldn't need Writing and the tech would be easy. Anyway, it's early enough that it doesn't feel game-breaking to me.