Turn 121-122 (175 AD)
First there was a holding turn where AT's trireme scared away our galleys off Endor, his forces at Ralltiir regrouped across the river, and the main force bombarded Mon Calamari.
The next turn started with a offer of white peace from AT; it's too late for that now. His two catapults at Ralltiir suicided into the Ballistaphant without denting it, and his main stack had turned around for home.
Escape from Ralltiir:
Barrage Catapult vs C1 Praetorian (4.7), 52.2%: Withdraw
Our ballistaphant can only get just above even odds on the spear, and our axes can't dent the undamaged catapult, so we leave the rest be.
Breaking the Siege of Mon Calamari
Catapult vs W1 Praetorian, 0.5%: loss (1 of 5 rounds)
Catapult vs C1 Praetorian, 0.7%: loss (2 of 6 rounds)
Barrage Catapult vs C1 Praetorian, 0.7%: loss (2 of 6 rounds)
Barrage Catapult vs Praetorian, 2.3%: loss (0 of 4 rounds)
Barrage Catapult vs Praetorian, 2.3%: loss (2 of 6 rounds)
Barrage Catapult vs Praetorian, 2.3%: loss (3 of 7 rounds)
Barrage Catapult vs C1 Praetorian (6.7), 7.3%: loss (0 of 4 rounds)
Barrage Catapult vs C1 Praetorian (6.7), 7.3%: loss (2 of 6 rounds)
C1 Axe vs C1 Praetorian (6.6), 22.1%: win!
C1 Axe vs W1 Praetorian (5.6), 38.1%: loss
C1 Axe vs Praetorian (5.9), 45.6%: win!
C1 Axe vs C1 Medic Praetorian (5.4), 59.9%: win!
C1 Axe vs D1 Catapult, 65.2%: win!
Axe vs D1 Catapult, 46.4%: loss
Axe vs D1 Catapult, 46.4%: loss
Axe vs D1 Catapult, 46.4%: win!
Axe vs C1 Praetorian (4.8), 60.8%: loss
Axe vs C1 Praetorian (4.8), 60.8%: loss
Axe vs C1 Praetorian (4.8), 60.8%: win!
C1 Ballistaphant vs Praetorian (5.2), 70.2%: win!
C1 Ballistaphant vs Praetorian (5.2), 72.6%: win!
At this point, AT has 3 full strength catapults that we can't get through with what we have left. The rest of his stack is pretty badly damaged; he should be able to make an escape with them but he might also try to attack back. Fondor produced a chariot this turn (the first of three) that our freshly minted Great General will turn into a super medic, so we should be able to heal as well.
I end the turn with an offer of peace for Endor back; I doubt he'll take it but I'm willing to end it at that.